Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.001058 1.203053e-03 0.001348 0.001505 0.001668 0.001832 0.002010
2025-11-16 0.000826 1.033186e-03 0.001248 0.001486 0.001740 0.002000 0.002287
2025-11-23 0.000649 9.005089e-04 0.001171 0.001477 0.001810 0.002157 0.002544
2025-11-30 0.000545 8.354846e-04 0.001157 0.001528 0.001939 0.002372 0.002860
2025-12-07 0.000422 7.348011e-04 0.001094 0.001519 0.001995 0.002505 0.003083
2025-12-14 0.000305 6.273997e-04 0.001014 0.001482 0.002017 0.002594 0.003255
2025-12-21 0.000241 5.768191e-04 0.000995 0.001511 0.002107 0.002757 0.003504
2025-12-28 0.000162 4.929496e-04 0.000928 0.001480 0.002126 0.002837 0.003660
2026-01-04 0.000111 4.397658e-04 0.000895 0.001485 0.002183 0.002956 0.003855
2026-01-11 0.000064 3.803785e-04 0.000849 0.001469 0.002213 0.003044 0.004015
2026-01-18 0.000031 3.293638e-04 0.000809 0.001459 0.002247 0.003133 0.004174
2026-01-25 0.000002 2.533289e-04 0.000726 0.001391 0.002211 0.003140 0.004239
2026-02-01 NaN 1.944042e-04 0.000673 0.001374 0.002253 0.003258 0.004454
2026-02-08 NaN 1.461785e-04 0.000630 0.001368 0.002309 0.003394 0.004690
2026-02-15 NaN 1.058177e-04 0.000592 0.001367 0.002369 0.003535 0.004934
2026-02-22 NaN 9.049264e-05 0.000596 0.001422 0.002499 0.003756 0.005269
2026-03-01 NaN 5.813693e-05 0.000557 0.001415 0.002551 0.003886 0.005499
2026-03-08 NaN 2.633378e-05 0.000502 0.001382 0.002567 0.003972 0.005677
2026-03-15 NaN 1.496736e-05 0.000492 0.001411 0.002662 0.004149 0.005959
2026-03-22 NaN 9.831308e-07 0.000445 0.001382 0.002679 0.004233 0.006132
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.000421 0.001387 0.002739 0.004366 0.006361
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.000388 0.001372 0.002772 0.004467 0.006551
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.000358 0.001362 0.002809 0.004571 0.006744